Analytics & Attribution
Incrementality
Quick definition
The revenue that would not have happened without a specific marketing channel running. The cleanest measure of true channel value.
What it actually means
Incrementality testing isolates the causal contribution of a channel by holding it out in some markets or audiences and measuring the revenue gap. Common methods: geo holdouts (turn off Meta in 5 states for 4 weeks), conversion lift studies (Meta/Google native tools), and PSA tests (replace ads with public service announcements for a control group). Real incrementality is usually 30-60% lower than last-click attribution suggests — meaning most brands overestimate paid-media value and underestimate organic/brand contribution.